Mere weeks after the experts were
predicting so-so prices for soybeans, they soared from just over $8 per
bushel to a high of $12.50. The last time the price went this high was in
1974 when it was over $15.00, says Kim Cooper, market co-ordinator for the
Ontario Soybean Marketing Board.
The good news doesn’t stop with
soybeans. Joe Hickson, owner of Midnight Acres in Kawartha Lakes, says May
corn could be locked in for more than $200 per tonne. Most of the corn in
Ontario was selling for about $140 per tonne the last week of February.
Hickson says that farmers in the
Lindsay-Peterborough area will probably increase soybean acreage by about
10 per cent. Cooper believes the soybean acreage, estimated at 2 million
acres several months ago across Ontario, will probably increase by five
per cent to 10 per cent.
One consequence of the euphoria over
beans has been a tight supply of seeds and a price increase for seed of
about five per cent over last year. The higher indexed beans have been
pretty well sold out, Hickson says. He told Farmers Forum that many
farmers were still undecided. But the corn acreage in the area will
probably be reduced.
"The last three years we’ve
had small windows for planting," he says. "We’ve increased
spring wheat this year but if the weather isn’t right by the end of
April farmers will switch."
Near Cornwall, Seaway Grain
Processors president Bud Atkins says it’s a good time to sell next year’s
crop. "At $140 (per tonne of corn) you’ll be able to cover
yourself. If the price goes down and you have a lot of debt, you’re in
trouble."
He says you can gamble with the
price but you stand to lose a lot. "You lose about 90 per cent of the
time," he said. He agrees with the experts that the best way is to
sell a crop is by increments. But that requires farm storage. Says Hickson:
"The only way to make money on spring grain is to have on-farm
storage." That way you can avoid lower prices which sometimes occur
when the crop comes off the fields.
Pretty well everyone agrees on the
cause of the price rise. The world shortage on grain reserves have been
spurred by fears that the South American soybean crop has suffered at the
hands of some unexpected bad weather.
Despite the rise in expectations, Grahame Hardy, a
pedigreed seed grower and elevator owner, says "The price is going to
have to come down. The price of meal is getting too expensive."
Hickson fears the huge pension funds can play havoc with the market.
"They can cash in at any time," he says. Their unpredictability
is a concern.